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Statistical First Release: Apprenticeship Starts Aug-Oct 2017 (Qtr 1)

GMLPF has undertaken some initial analysis of the SFR Apprenticeship Starts data published on the 25th January 2018. It has not been possible yet to compare and contrast starts data for the period August to October 2017 with the corresponding period for 2016 for the Liverpool City Region.  However, it is clear that Apprenticeship starts are low relative to previous years.

Further analysis will be undertaken, for example timeframe comparisons and sectoral analysis, when data becomes available.

Several key messages emerge:

  • Nationally, Apprenticeship starts are significantly down year on year, continuing the trend identified in the previous quarter.
  • On current levels of starts it is highly unlikely that the Liverpool City Region will match the number of starts achieved in 2016/17. To achieve that level, some 15,180 individuals would need to start an Apprenticeship over the next three quarters. This equates to some 5,060 individuals each quarter or a 50% increase on current levels.
National Picture

The Government’s manifesto 3m Apprenticeship starts target would appear to be highly ambitious given the recent publication of starts data. Total Apprenticeship starts have fallen by 41% over the period May-October 2017 when compared to the corresponding period in 2016. This analysis continues to highlight the impact of Apprenticeship reforms.

LCR Picture

The table below illustrates the total number of (All Age) Apprenticeship starts by Local Authority area over the last 6 full delivery years.

LEA/LA/Region/England 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17
Full Year (Provisional)
Knowsley 2,910 2,560 2,010 2,180 2,140 2,160
Liverpool 7290 6120 4600 5080 5130 5310
Halton 2010 1630 1420 1420 1440 1430
Sefton 3840 3860 2890 3100 3090 3330
St Helens 2850 2330 2080 2260 2390 2280
Wirral 4870 4510 3530 3850 4130 4070
LCR 23,770 21,010 16,530 17,890 18,320 18,580
North West 89310 84180 71670 79310 80820 79170
England 515000 504200 434600 494200 503900 485500

 

The table reveals that Apprenticeship starts were relatively stable over the period 2014/15 to 2016/17 with circa 18,000 Starts per annum.

An analysis of the Statistical First Release data for Apprenticeship starts (August-October) by Local Authority area and by age group and level of Apprenticeship reveals the following:

Statistical First Release Jan 18: Apprenticeship Starts by Age Aug-Oct 2017
Local Authority Area 16-18 19-24 25+ Total
Halton   110 80 90 280
Knowsley   150 100 140 390
Liverpool   290 220 360 870
St Helens   190 120 130 440
Sefton   230 190 190 610
Wirral   300 240 280 810
LCR Total   1270 950 1190 3400
%   37.4% 27.9% 35.0% 100%
           
Statistical First Release Jan 18: Apprenticeship Starts by Level Aug-Oct 2017
Local Authority Area Intermediate Advanced Higher Total
Halton   110 140 30 280
Knowsley   190 160 40 390
Liverpool   400 370 100 870
St Helens   180 210 50 440
Sefton   270 260 70 610
Wirral   340 370 100 810
LCR Total   1490 1510 390 3400
%   43.8% 44.4% 11.5% 100%

 

What is apparent from the above tables is that:

  • Total starts in Quarter 1 (3400) equates to 18.3% of the total number of starts in the 2016/17 year. Given historical recruitment patterns (where recruitment of apprentices, in particular 16-18 is higher, in Quarter 1) this figures appears to be low and would require significant volumes of new starts for the City Region to achieve the level of starts in the previous year.
  • It would appear that, in contrast to the previous year, the number of 25 years olds and over has decreased significantly. In 2016/17, 47% of those starting an Apprenticeship were aged 25 and over in contrast to 35% currently. Starts by those aged 16-18 appear to have increased.
  • The profile of Apprenticeship starts by Level appears to confirm an emerging trend whereby the number of starts at Intermediate level are decreasing and there is an increasing shift towards advanced and higher level

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