GMLPF has undertaken some initial analysis of the SFR Apprenticeship Starts data published on the 25th January 2018. It has not been possible yet to compare and contrast starts data for the period August to October 2017 with the corresponding period for 2016 for the Liverpool City Region. However, it is clear that Apprenticeship starts are low relative to previous years.
Further analysis will be undertaken, for example timeframe comparisons and sectoral analysis, when data becomes available.
Several key messages emerge:
- Nationally, Apprenticeship starts are significantly down year on year, continuing the trend identified in the previous quarter.
- On current levels of starts it is highly unlikely that the Liverpool City Region will match the number of starts achieved in 2016/17. To achieve that level, some 15,180 individuals would need to start an Apprenticeship over the next three quarters. This equates to some 5,060 individuals each quarter or a 50% increase on current levels.
The Government’s manifesto 3m Apprenticeship starts target would appear to be highly ambitious given the recent publication of starts data. Total Apprenticeship starts have fallen by 41% over the period May-October 2017 when compared to the corresponding period in 2016. This analysis continues to highlight the impact of Apprenticeship reforms.
The table below illustrates the total number of (All Age) Apprenticeship starts by Local Authority area over the last 6 full delivery years.
Full Year (Provisional)
The table reveals that Apprenticeship starts were relatively stable over the period 2014/15 to 2016/17 with circa 18,000 Starts per annum.
An analysis of the Statistical First Release data for Apprenticeship starts (August-October) by Local Authority area and by age group and level of Apprenticeship reveals the following:
|Statistical First Release Jan 18: Apprenticeship Starts by Age Aug-Oct 2017|
|Local Authority Area||16-18||19-24||25+||Total|
|Statistical First Release Jan 18: Apprenticeship Starts by Level Aug-Oct 2017|
|Local Authority Area||Intermediate||Advanced||Higher||Total|
What is apparent from the above tables is that:
- Total starts in Quarter 1 (3400) equates to 18.3% of the total number of starts in the 2016/17 year. Given historical recruitment patterns (where recruitment of apprentices, in particular 16-18 is higher, in Quarter 1) this figures appears to be low and would require significant volumes of new starts for the City Region to achieve the level of starts in the previous year.
- It would appear that, in contrast to the previous year, the number of 25 years olds and over has decreased significantly. In 2016/17, 47% of those starting an Apprenticeship were aged 25 and over in contrast to 35% currently. Starts by those aged 16-18 appear to have increased.
- The profile of Apprenticeship starts by Level appears to confirm an emerging trend whereby the number of starts at Intermediate level are decreasing and there is an increasing shift towards advanced and higher level